2026 NBA playoffs: Key questions, score first-round sequence


It’s been a bit of over every week for the reason that get started of the 2026 NBA playoffs, and the first-round sequence have now not dissatisfied.

The Los Angeles Lakers failed to near their sequence towards the Houston Rockets on Sunday, because the Rockets pressured a Recreation 5 again to L.A. on Wednesday. The winner of that sequence will face the winner of the Oklahoma Town ThunderPhoenix Suns sequence, which may well be determined Monday, with the protecting champion Thunder up 3-0.

Within the East, the No. 1-seeded Detroit Pistons have struggled to search out their rhythm towards the No. 8-seeded Orlando Magic. Plus, the Cleveland CavaliersToronto Raptors and New York KnicksAtlanta Hawks sequence are tied at 2-2.

With some thrilling Spherical 1 matchups nonetheless forward, our NBA insiders spoke back the largest questions surrounding every sequence. ESPN’s Bobby Marks broke down which unfastened brokers have raised or reduced their inventory to this point, and analyst Zach Kram ranked the sequence in response to their dissatisfied attainable.

Leap to:
Largest questions: East | West
Rating each and every sequence | Loose company inventory watch

Japanese Convention

(8) Orlando Magic lead (1) Detroit Pistons 2-1

Can the Pistons win with out Jalen Duren at his ideal?

The Magic have given the Pistons a style of their very own physicality, stifling protection and opportunistic offense. Outdoor of the seven-block first quarter and 30-3 third-quarter run that helped win Recreation 2 and the determined fourth-quarter rally that fell simply brief in Recreation 3, the Pistons have now not gave the look of the staff that received 60 video games this season.

One main reason why is that All-Big name large guy Duren has been a relative nonfactor who has been outplayed via Orlando’s Wendell Carter Jr. In Recreation 3, Duren had 5 blocks however fouled out and completed with 8 issues, 9 rebounds and simply 3-for-10 taking pictures. This can be a a long way cry from the nineteen.5 issues, 10.5 rebounds and 65% taking pictures he averaged all through the common season. Making issues worse, Carter had an enormous recreation with 14 issues and 17 rebounds, together with 8 offensive rebounds, in Recreation 3. He used to be one of these drawback for Duren and Isaiah Stewart that trainer J.B Bickerstaff went to Paul Reed early within the 0.33 quarter for a spark.

Cade Cunningham wishes the entire assist he can get. Bickerstaff, who, along side assistant Luke Walton, sat with Duren for a longer time after Friday’s follow, mentioned Duren has now not been in a position to get unfastened on pick-and-rolls as a result of Orlando packing the paint. And the Magic have additional neutralized Duren with more than one avid gamers collapsing on him every now and then. With out Duren at his All-Big name ideal, the Pistons can have a difficult time setting up superiority within the paint on all sides of the ball. — Ohm Youngmisuk

(2) Boston Celtics lead (7) Philadelphia 76ers 3-1

Is that this sequence over?

It for sure turns out love it. Boston has managed the motion all through this sequence, producing heaps of 3s. And out of doors of Recreation 2’s 13-for-50 appearing from lengthy vary, the Celtics are knocking them down. Whilst Sunday’s go back of Joel Embiid, lower than 3 weeks after an emergency appendectomy, used to be a really perfect tale, it did not masks the full deficit going through Philadelphia. The Celtics have created a math drawback the 76ers have struggled to resolve.

Recreation 3, particularly, gave the impression of the instant when issues swung clear of Philadelphia. That used to be a pitched struggle that both staff may just win, just for Boston to tug it out with exceptional shotmaking via Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Payton Pritchard. Barring an enormous alternate in fortunes, the Celtics will have to quickly be headed to the East semifinals for the 9th time in 10 years. — Tim Bontemps

(3) New York Knicks are tied with (6) Atlanta Hawks 2-2

Have the Knicks unlocked Karl-Anthony Cities after an up-and-down season?

If Recreation 4 is any indication, possibly so. Cities used to be utilized in some way we hadn’t observed prior to, a minimum of now not en masse. He used to be working from the excessive publish, dishing and diming (10 assists) to OG Anunoby for simple buckets.

However the transfer did not appear intentional — a minimum of via the way in which Mike Brown mentioned it postgame — as though it used to be virtually via happenstance versus a metamorphosis in mindset that maximized Cities. When he is on, it lessens the Knicks’ dependency on Jalen Brunson‘s offense.

Thru 4 video games of the sequence, Cities’ manufacturing exceeds his profession playoff numbers. Will have to he get much more touches this sequence? The unending query stays. — Vincent Goodwill

(4) Cleveland Cavaliers are tied with (5) Toronto Raptors 2-2

How will James Harden and Donovan Mitchell reply?

Harden and Mitchell entered this postseason able to rewrite narratives. Neither celebrity has ignored the postseason — 17 consecutive years in Harden’s case and 9 years for Mitchell — however neither has received a championship, with the shortcomings of every frequently highlighted all through their respective groups’ disasters. But, with a possibility to snatch regulate in their first playoff sequence in combination after successful the 1st two video games at domestic, Mitchell and Harden grew to become in duds in Video games 3 and four. They mixed for 22 turnovers all through the 2 video games in Toronto, and Harden has completed with extra turnovers than made box objectives in two instantly video games.

Positive, the Raptors have made some changes to show up the power at the Cavs’ celebrity backcourt and Scottie Barnes has been superb defensively. However for Cleveland to move on a deep run, Harden and Mitchell wish to in finding tactics to be extra environment friendly and productive to exorcise their earlier postseason demons. — Jamal Collier


Western Convention

(1) Oklahoma Town Thunder lead (8) Phoenix Suns 3-0

Can the Thunder get some other first-round sweep?

To the marvel of no one, the Thunder have necessarily claimed their spot within the convention semifinals. The one ultimate query is whether or not Oklahoma Town can whole a first-round sweep for the 0.33 instantly season. Trainer Mark Daigneault has but to lose a recreation within the first around, as Oklahoma Town has an 11-0 document towards 8-seeds during the last 3 years.

The Suns have considerably exceeded expectancies this season, incomes a playoff spot when it used to be all however assumed they might be sending a lottery choose to the Memphis Grizzlies. Intense aggressive pleasure has been a large a part of the Suns’ luck, so Phoenix will do all it may to position up a combat in Recreation 4. — Tim MacMahon

(2) San Antonio Spurs lead (7) Portland Path Blazers 3-1

Can the Spurs do away with Portland in 5 video games?

San Antonio wishes to complete this sequence if it needs to steer clear of some other lengthy commute to Portland and purchase time to heal some nagging thumb accidents to guards Stephon Fort and Dylan Harper prior to a second-round sequence towards Minnesota or Denver.

San Antonio might be motivated to maintain trade in entrance of its domestic crowd, which hasn’t observed a series-clinching win since 2017. Victor Wembanyama‘s go back from concussion protocol for Recreation 4 used to be essential for purchasing him again into the glide and physicality of postseason basketball. Wembanyama has been dominant defensively on this sequence, proscribing Portland to 5-of-30 taking pictures and simply 10 issues each time he is contesting a shot.

In the meantime, veteran level guard De’Aaron Fox is after all discovering his playoff groove, coming off simply his 0.33 profession postseason day out with a 25-5-5 line. — Michael C. Wright

(6) Minnesota Timberwolves lead (3) Denver Nuggets 3-1

How are the Timberwolves doing this to Denver?

Particular person protection from Jaden McDaniels and Rudy Gobert. McDaniels has been draped everywhere Jamal Murray to the stage that Denver trainer David Adelman has been complaining in regards to the loss of bodily display screen environment from his function avid gamers, who have not been in a position to stay McDaniels off the Nuggets’ All-Big name guard.

It has led to an inefficient 33-of-89 taking pictures sequence from Murray — 37% total and 26.5% on 3s. Nikola Jokic, in the meantime, hasn’t been in a position to select up the slack towards the period and physicality of Gobert. Jokic ignored all six of his fourth-quarter photographs in Recreation 4, shedding his sequence share to an uncharacteristic 39.1%. (Jokic is a profession 56.1% converter who as soon as made 63% of his photographs in a season.)

The Timberwolves, in the meantime, are in a primary place to make the second one around however misplaced Donte DiVincenzo to a torn Achilles and do not know when they will get Anthony Edwards again after he suffered a bone bruise in his left knee all through Recreation 4. — Anthony Slater

(4) Los Angeles Lakers lead (5) Houston Rockets 3-1

What’s the urgency for Austin Reaves and Luka Doncic to go back after the Lakers’ defeat in Recreation 4?

After Reaves used to be upgraded to questionable prior to Recreation 3 and once more going into Recreation 4 however has but to seem within the sequence as he recovers from a Grade 2 left indirect pressure, will the Rockets’ dominant victory to get again within the sequence push him again into the lineup?

“I believe in the end the athlete has to really feel self assurance,” Lakers trainer JJ Redick mentioned Sunday when requested what parts are being regarded as in Reaves’ go back. “And that’s the reason all the time the overall hurdle getting back from an damage, is the mental part of it.”

Will have to Reaves play in Recreation 5, it might be an afternoon shy of a month since he suffered the damage towards the Thunder — nonetheless a fast restoration taking into consideration the rehabilitation window of 4 to 6 weeks that assets advised ESPN the damage will require. Would Reaves’ presence, mixed with the house crowd, be sufficient to assist L.A. do away with Houston in 5, or have the Rockets discovered one thing that might make the sequence pass the gap? And if Houston can lengthen the sequence to a Recreation 6 or 7, is there any risk that Doncic can go back from his Grade 2 left hamstring pressure?

Redick mentioned Sunday that there is not any replace from the staff on Doncic’s go back timeline, which is recently unknown. However in response to the incremental development Redick shared Sunday — that Doncic “used to be in a position to transport a bit of bit these days at the court docket, which, lots of the stuff [before] were standstill” — it for sure does not sound like he’s shut. — Dave McMenamin

Loose company inventory watch

With just about 54% of upcoming unfastened brokers showing within the playoffs, let’s check out avid gamers who’ve progressed or harm their inventory this offseason:

Refill

Ayo Dosunmu, Minnesota Timberwolves
CJ McCollum, Atlanta Hawks

We’re seeing how a midseason business can affect the playoffs, or, in relation to Dosunmu, develop into the catalyst for a breakout sequence.

Bought from the Chicago Bulls on the February time limit, Dosunmu scored 43 issues off the bench within the Wolves’ Recreation 4 win, the second one maximum via a reserve in playoff historical past. For the sequence, Dosunmu is averaging 22.8 issues on 64% taking pictures from the sphere and 52.9% from 3.

Dosunmu is eligible to signal a three-year, $52.4 million extension prior to June 30. As a result of he used to be got in a business and has Chook rights, Minnesota is authorized to exceed the cap, luxurious tax and apron to re-sign the guard. The Timberwolves are projected to be $27 million beneath the second one apron.

The 34-year-old McCollum, in the meantime, has grew to become again the clock.

Sooner than Atlanta’s Recreation 4 loss to New York, McCollum had scored the second-most issues thru 3 video games in Hawks playoff historical past. (McCollum is averaging 24.5 issues within the sequence.)

McCollum, an unrestricted unfastened agent, can signal as much as a three-year, $115.9 million extension thru June 30. Atlanta can re-sign him and exceed the cap as a result of his Chook rights.


Inventory down

Jalen Duren, Detroit Pistons
Peyton Watson, Denver Nuggets
Mark Williams, Phoenix Suns

The playoffs will have to had been the place Duren, Watson and Williams progressed their limited unfastened agent status this summer time.

Duren gave the impression in his first All-Big name Recreation and is a candidate for All-NBA, however he has observed his scoring lower from 19.5 issues in step with recreation within the common season to 9.0 within the playoffs. Extra importantly, Duren is averaging most effective 6.7 issues within the paint, down from 14.6 all through the common season.

The Nuggets’ Watson and the Suns’ Williams had sturdy common seasons however have now not performed within the playoffs as a result of accidents.

Sooner than injuring his hamstring Feb. 4, Watson used to be averaging 14.9 issues (17.3 in 40 begins) whilst taking pictures 49.6% from the sphere and 41.7% on 3s. Watson shot 53% on nook 3s, 6th within the NBA this season amongst avid gamers with a minimum of 1,000 mins.

Williams gave the impression in a career-high 60 video games this season and performed an important function in Phoenix’s growth from twenty sixth to 6th in second-chance issues.

— Bobby Marks

The place each and every sequence ranks

One main theme of the 1st around is parity: Fifteen of the 16 groups have received a minimum of one recreation, and 5 of the underdogs have already got more than one wins.

So, at this halfway level of the 1st around, let’s rerank the sequence via their dissatisfied attainable, from the bottom chance for a marvel to the absolute best:

8. Thunder 3, Suns 0

Whichever staff confronted the Thunder used to be all the time going to have the hardest time of any decrease seed within the first around, and thru 3 video games, a Suns dissatisfied does not appear to any extent further most likely than when the sequence started. Phoenix hasn’t led in the second one part of any recreation, and the Thunder at the moment are 11-0 within the first around previously 3 seasons.

7. Spurs 3, Path Blazers 1

With a 17-point lead at halftime of Recreation 4, the Path Blazers’ odds of an dissatisfied have been ticking up. After which San Antonio outscored Portland 73-35 in the second one part, all however finishing any probability of an dissatisfied bid. With Victor Wembanyama wholesome, San Antonio has only one loss since March 1 (to Denver in an additional time vintage).

6. Celtics 3, 76ers 1

Regardless of Joel Embiid’s go back, Philadelphia used to be no fit for Boston in Recreation 4 on Sunday, because the Celtics cruised to a 32-point win. The 76ers’ most effective win on this sequence got here once they shot 49% on 3-pointers, and they would be hard-pressed to show in that more or less efficiency for 3 extra video games in a row.

5. Cavaliers 2, Raptors 2

The Raptors proved they may win with offense, scoring 43 issues within the fourth quarter of Recreation 3 to show a two-point lead right into a comfy 22-point victory. They usually proved they may win with protection, grinding out a 93-89 victory in Recreation 4 in spite of taking pictures simply 4-for-30 (13%) on 3-pointers. Cleveland continues to be liked as a result of its ability and home-court benefit, however Toronto may be very a lot alive.

4. Knicks 2, Hawks 2

Sooner than this sequence started, I picked the Knicks to win in seven, so they are proper not off course for that outcome after splitting the 1st 4 video games. New York will have to nonetheless be liked to advance, as its two wins have been via a mixed 27 issues, whilst Atlanta’s victories have been every via a unmarried level. However the Hawks have settled on a powerful six-man core, of their 5 starters plus Jonathan Kuminga, whilst the Knicks’ rotation stays unsettled — in particular with reference to Mikal Bridges, who has averaged simply 7.3 issues within the sequence. Atlanta’s dissatisfied probability is surely nonetheless in play.

3. Magic 2, Pistons 1

In 2003, the top-seeded Pistons fell at the back of 3-1 within the first around towards Orlando prior to staving off the dissatisfied with 3 consecutive wins. They may desire a equivalent comeback this 12 months. No longer most effective do the Magic have a 2-1 lead over the top-seeded Pistons, however the effects do not seem like a fluke. The Magic have earned their two wins and regulated lots of the sequence; they are after all wholesome and taking a look just like the contenders such a lot of anticipated them to be this season. All 5 Orlando starters are averaging double-digit issues on this sequence, whilst most effective 3 of Detroit’s are.

2. Timberwolves 3, Nuggets 1

At the one hand, the Timberwolves are only one win from their moment dissatisfied of the Nuggets in 3 years. And the Nuggets glance misplaced after two noncompetitive losses in Minnesota: Nuggets X issue Aaron Gordon is harm, and the Wolves have bottled up Denver’s league-best offense.

However alternatively, Minnesota must get that remaining win with out Anthony Edwards, who is out for more than one weeks after hyperextending his knee in Recreation 4, and with out Donte DiVincenzo, who tore an Achilles in Recreation 4. So Minnesota is liked to tug off the dissatisfied, simply as a result of its place within the sequence, however it may not be simple with out the staff’s complete beginning backcourt.

1. Lakers 3, Rockets 1

Despite the fact that the Lakers are the No. 4 seed and the Rockets are the No. 5 seed, this could nonetheless check in as an dissatisfied. Oddsmakers and pundits in large part anticipated a Houston win on this sequence as a result of accidents to Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves. However now Reaves is coming near a comeback whilst Houston’s main scorer, Kevin Durant, is harm, and the Lakers want only one extra win in 3 tries to advance. Issue within the Lakers’ home-court benefit, they usually now have the most efficient odds of any first-round underdog.

— Zach Kram

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Scroll to Top